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Industry and import substitution
09:26, 28 July 2026
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From Hardware to Algorithms

Russian manufacturers are moving beyond isolated robotics deployments toward integrated solutions connected through a unified digital environment. The new approach is demonstrating strong economic returns. According to a study by Roselectronics, part of the Rostec State Corporation, such integrated systems typically achieve payback within one and a half to four years, while return on investment (ROI) exceeds 30%–40% in successful deployments.

Today, manufacturers achieve the greatest economic gains not by purchasing individual pieces of new equipment but through comprehensive digital transformation. That includes deploying digital twins, predictive maintenance systems and intelligent control platforms that seamlessly connect equipment into a single production ecosystem.

Leaders Bet on Intelligent Systems

According to Roselectronics experts, the global robotics market reached approximately $90 billion in 2025 and could nearly double to $160 billion by 2028. With an average annual growth rate exceeding 20%, robotics has become one of the fastest-growing segments of the global economy. At the same time, the industry is undergoing a fundamental shift from conventional automation toward the concept of embodied AI, in which artificial intelligence is no longer a standalone software layer but an integral part of the physical machine itself.

Machines are learning to perceive their surroundings and adapt through computer vision and trainable algorithms. Markets for collaborative robots (cobots) and emerging humanoid robotics continue to expand. Competition among leading players is now increasingly centered not on individual technologies but on entire technology ecosystems.

Roselectronics experts found that comprehensive robotic solutions typically achieve payback within one and a half to four years, while return on investment can exceed 30%–40%.

Russia's Robotics Industry Changes Course

Against this backdrop, Russia is posting strong quantitative growth. Over the past two years, the country's installed base of industrial robots has expanded by more than 2.5 times, from 12,800 units in 2023 to 32,000–34,000 units in 2025. Robot density in manufacturing has nearly doubled, while the domestic market has reached 80 billion rubles (approximately $1 billion). As the Roselectronics study notes, this figure still remains below the global average. Meanwhile, the country's relatively low starting point creates substantial room for future expansion. This fact opens for Russia an opportunity to bypass outdated stages of development and build the industry directly around domestic digital platforms and algorithms rather than imported hardware. That opens broad opportunities for Russia's IT sector, including electronic components, autonomous intelligent systems, industrial automation, medical and educational robotics, as well as specialized solutions for high-tech industries – fields where the country already has established research schools, an industrial base and growing domestic demand.

This drive toward technological sovereignty is backed by the national Means of Production and Automation project, which aims to place Russia among the world's top 25 countries by 2030, reaching a robot density of 145 robots per 10,000 workers. Through 2030, the government plans to invest approximately 350 billion rubles (more than $4.4 billion) in industrial robotics and automation. Key support measures include R&D subsidies, preferential financing, industrial cashback incentives and the creation of a nationwide network of more than 30 robotics development centers.

Roselectronics Turns Factories Into Smart IT Ecosystems

Between 2021 and 2025, Russian industry made a qualitative transition from isolated automation projects to unified digital ecosystems. One of the clearest examples is the experience of the Rostec State Corporation. Its enterprises have established an end-to-end technology chain spanning electronic components, sensors and microelectronics through the production of complete robotic systems. Rather than modernizing individual operations in isolation, companies are deploying solutions that fit organically into the enterprise's overall IT architecture. In particular, Roselectronics is developing technologies that serve as core building blocks for modern industrial robotics, including computing platforms, control systems, communications technologies, software, microelectronics and industrial electronics.

Among its flagship developments are ShokinGPT, IIoT.Istok, PAK SAPR (Hardware-Software CAD Suite) for end-to-end design automation, and proprietary server hardware for data centers. These technologies provide the foundation for specialized applications ranging from automated production lines and agricultural robots to unmanned aerial systems, medical equipment and robotic platforms designed to operate in hazardous environments.

Import Substitution as a Launchpad

Over the medium term, the pace of industrial automation and robotics development in Russia will depend less on isolated technological breakthroughs than on how quickly artificial intelligence, sensors, advanced materials and new business models converge. As the Roselectronics study concludes, the focus has already shifted beyond replacing imported technologies toward building domestic platforms that could ultimately compete not only in Russia but also internationally, particularly in countries seeking independent technology ecosystems.

Five years ago, most initiatives focused on implementing individual enterprise management and manufacturing systems. Today, companies are striving to build a unified management architecture that connects planning, supply chains, manufacturing, finance and analytics. Their technological maturity has increased dramatically. They have begun working with data, building end-to-end processes and defining requirements for architecture rather than for individual off-the-shelf products. Digital transformation is no longer simply an IT department initiative. It has become part of the executive agenda for chief executives and chief financial officers
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